The History of NC-20
NC 20 has
accomplished the following through participation and
numerous meetings with government officials, the hosting of
public forums, grassroots lobbying efforts and the
dissemination of information to the public through our
twenty county contacts network. NC 20’s diverse board is
involved in numerous other organizations and works
diligently to provide information and NC 20’s perspective on
various issues.
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STATE STORMWATER RULES: An unincorporated
group of local officials representing county/city
governments, along with business associations, from the
20 coastal counties (CAMA) found themselves fighting
excessive storm water regulation first proposed by the
EMC in 2009. It was led by county managers Paul Spruill,
Bobby Outten and others. The regulation as proposed
would have required large investments in stormwater
retention. There was very little scientific evidence
that the rules as proposed would have a beneficial
impact in many cases. Some counties had oyster bed
closure rates (due to fecal coliform) of less than 1%
while a few had closure rates of >50%. The “one size
fits all” approach by the State was explained by one
State official thusly: “This isn’t about science... it’s
about political science.” In the end, the compromise
reached was better than the original proposals, but two
things became obvious to the NC 20 participants:
- Facts
do not matter in regulatory issues as much as power.
- The
20 coastal counties were fighting with different
lobbying groups, different strategies, and
uncoordinated efforts.
Thus, NC 20
was formed. Ironically, as this is being written several
years later, the State has admitted that their solution not
only didn’t work, but that it actually made things worse.
Footnote:
In June of 2012,
DENR, reporting to the CRC, admitted that stormwater ponds
do not often work here. Fecal coliform rates were
essentially higher than the background counts, meaning the
ponds were creating, not reducing, bacteria. They
recommended that we use pervious surface materials to
replace stormwater ponds. While this is a victory of sorts
since our original objection to the ponds was that they
would breed, not diminish fecal coliform, pervious concrete
is about 10 times more expensive. And, once again, there is
no compelling science to suggest that this will work either.
An alternative was presented at the NC 20 meeting in
Morehead City by Dr. Barrett Kays using on site
infiltration. It offers great promise in that it saves land
that would otherwise be useless and offers zero discharge.
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HOMEOWNERS INSURANCE: The rising cost of
Homeowners Insurance was the next fight. Homeowner and
dwelling insurance rates for wind were and still are
unreasonably high on the coast. Based on the 2008 HO
Rate Filing, the claims paid in the 18 coastal NCIUA
counties average about $0.06 per every premium dollar
paid while the claims paid in the rest of the State
average about $0.21 for every premium dollar paid which
means, essentially, that the coast is subsidizing the
rest of the State. In 2009, there were substantial
increases proposed in the cost of homeowners insurance
in rates, deductibles and surcharges. The Beach Plan (NCIUA)
was targeted for drastic reform. NC 20 was incorporated
by this time and these proposals met with far more
coordinated resistance than was the case in the
stormwater battle. HB 1305 was subsequently passed with
major revisions that lessened the economic injury, and
millions of dollars were saved by such changes as
reducing the Beach Plan wind deductibles from 2 – 5% in
any storm to 1% in named storms only. NC 20 was
responsible for eliminating an additional 10% proposed
surcharge on Beach Plan wind and homeowners policies, a
savings of about $12 million a year to policyholders.
Although a substantial number of NC 20 members
participated in this effort, all would agree that the
Board members Bobby Outten, Dare County Manager, and NC
20 President, Willo Kelly, deserves the lion’s share of
the credit due to their coordination of county efforts,
exhaustive research and persistent questioning of
insurance industry lobbyists and the staff of the
Insurance Commissioner’s office.
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BUFFER
RULES:
The next economic attack on the coast was a
ruling that appeared on
the DWQ web site stating that Variances issued under the
Tar Pam and Neuse Buffer Rules were no longer to be
considered transferable.
NC 20 scheduled a meeting at the
Convention Center in New Bern on September 1, 2010, to
inform the public of
that this ruling could effectively condemn property in
the event a new owner could not qualify under whatever
future rules were issued.
The
State had unilaterally and in violation of the law
issued this ruling.A few days prior to NC 20’s called
public meeting on this ruling, DWQ posted a revised
public notice on their web site which stated that a
Variance ran with the land, could be transferred with
ownership, and that Variances, once issued, would not
expire. The previous posting of August 3, 2010, stating
otherwise was deleted from their web site. At the
September NC 20 meeting, four officials from the State
came and apologized. Board member Missy Baskerville
sounded the alarm, led the charge, and deserves the
credit for this unprecedented reversal on the part of
the State.
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SEA-LEVEL RISE and SETBACK RULES: Accelerated
Sea-Level Rise (SLR) was the next issue that presented
itself (and still does) as a threat to NC 20 Counties.
It began with a draft policy from the CRC that included
a planning “mandate” requiring 39” SLR be included in
all land use plans. Here it is:
(a)
................"Consistent with this report (Science Panel
- NC Sea-Level Rise Assessment Report -March 2010), the
Commission adopts a planning benchmark of one meter (39
inches) of relative sea level rise above present by 2100,
for the twenty coastal counties. The benchmark
will be
used for land use planning, and to assist in designing
development and conversation projects.
(f) Private
development
should be
designed to and constructed to avoid sea level rise impacts
with the structure's design life. Water dependent structures
should be designed to accommodate projected sea level rise
within their design life. The Commission may require
additional development standards for new and replacement
structures built within areas subject to sea level rise
impacts.
(g) In
order to minimize the magnification of hazards, disruption
and losses associated with water levels, public
infrastructure
should be
designed and constructed to avoid sea level rise impacts
within the infrastructure's design life to maximum extent
practicable, except in instances where the infrastructure is
built to serve an adaptation purpose, or if the structure is
water dependent and designed to accommodate projected sea
level rise within its design life. "
The immediate
problem was the unmentioned (and unknown) cost of such a
mandate. How many square miles would be lost to the tax
rolls and private property owners by being labeled “flood
zone?” (2000 square miles, as it actually turned out). How
much would it cost to raise structures and infrastructure to
accommodate such an outcome? And, what about roads that
would be built for a flood/SLR event 88 years from now? They
would become, in effect, de facto dams. All that
“preparation” would not come cheaply. The economic
substitution effect of spending more on everything now meant
actually ending up with less of everything later, including
much needed roads and private investment. If there were
valid science behind the proposal, there would have been no
argument. But, sadly, there was virtually no science at all
supporting such an event, only “computer models” driven by
assumptions about global warming, ice melting, and sea
levels rising. Long term tide gauges showed no acceleration
whatsoever and, in several of the studies, a deceleration.
That meant the slow, linear rate of rise (about 8” - 10” per
century) was diminishing, not getting worse. NC 20 provided
data that showed that there was abundant data from very
reputable scientists that disagreed with accelerated SLR.
The “mandate” language was removed by the CRC. NC 20
continued to challenge the Science Panel of the CRC on many
of its assertions and conclusions, but the Science Panel and
the CRC both continued to insist that 39” is a rational
number. In June of 2012, the North Carolina State
Legislature sided with NC 20 and passed H819, a bill written
by Reps. Pat McElraft and Bill Cook. The bill essentially
provides for a more scientific study and the elimination of
any rules, regulations, or polices mandating a 39” planning
benchmark until a more, open scientific investigation
determines the likelihood and direction of SL changes. The
battle for was ferocious at times, especially on the House
side. Ultimately, the Senate passed the bill 50 -1 and the
house by 65 – 45 plurality. A number of NC 20 Board members
were intimately involved with SLR, but Larry Baldwin, David
Burton, John Droz and Bud Stilley played prominent roles.
Also included in that bill was another provision that NC 20
worked diligently on – the grandfathering of existing
oceanfront structures from setback rules passed by the CRC
in August 2009.
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FLOOD
MAPPING: Flood mapping arose as our next
challenge. Although NC 20 was able to get the 39”
mandate of the CRC removed, the CRC refused to delete or
repudiate the report. The genie was out of the bottle
and the first indication was that the Department of
Crime Control and Public Safety, headed by Secretary
Reuben Young, adopted the CRC’s estimate and began
drawing flood maps. NC 20, with help from Rep. George
Cleveland and the NC 20 legislative delegation, was
subsequently able to convince the Department to use
historic data which showed no acceleration (the infamous
hockey stick), and to monitor SLR and adjust
accordingly. The historic rate of SLR using the best
available data is 8” by the year 2100 and NC 20 has
agreed with the State Department of Crime Control and
Public Safety to revisit the data every five years and
adjust if necessary. Drs. Robert Dean, Professor
Emeritus, and James Houston, Director Emeritus, (U.
Florida and Corps of Engineers respectively) have a
comprehensive, worldwide study documented on our website
that shows a slight negative acceleration, meaning even
the slight linear increase in SLR is beginning to level
off.
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